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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | Winning2... | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 32% (878–1902, n=2780) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $4.2M | -$20K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #140 | PM monthly #651 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 68% (178 of 260 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Mentions −31 pts, n=20 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 31% of 3296 at avg 31¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 52% (won 19% of 1708) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 39% (won 39% of 1283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 9% (won 61% of 282) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 1% (won 87% of 23) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | Winning2... |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $8.0K | Celtics $215 | — | — |