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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpskadii
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)48% (181–200, n=381)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M-$29K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #276
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)70% (169 of 240 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%46% of 363 at avg 46¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)27% (won 14% of 98)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)31% (won 42% of 112)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)26% (won 66% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)16% (won 77% of 57)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.