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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | JoeytheReal | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 50% (623–623, n=1246) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | -$6.6K | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #881 | PM monthly #110 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (30 of 34 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Tennis −2 pts, n=321 | NFL −7 pts, n=158 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 50% of 878 at avg 52¢, ROI +4% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 18% (won 18% of 157) | 13% (won 14% of 196) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 29% (won 37% of 252) | 18% (won 40% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 29% (won 59% of 254) | 23% (won 58% of 348) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 24% (won 80% of 215) | 46% (won 94% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | JoeytheReal | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $425K | — | No $350K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | — | Yes $12K |