← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | JoeytheReal | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (52–60, n=112) | 61% (17–11, n=28) | no settled market | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$527K | $786K | — | $2 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | — | PM monthly #154 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (11 of 13 open) | 56% (5 of 9 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 1 at avg 45¢, ROI +55% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 0% | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 0% | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 0% | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | JoeytheReal | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $178K | Ciryl Gane $315K | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $487K | Trail Blazers $2.5K | — | — |