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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankLimousinRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)57% (690–531, n=1221)47% (14256–15876, n=30132)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$11.0M$39K$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #163PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus69% (75 of 109 open)58% (59 of 101 open)52% (33 of 63 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • NBA +46 pts n=89, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=266, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +26 pts n=18, ROI +36%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 405 at avg 69¢, ROI +35%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 79% of 58)7% (won 100% of 27)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 200)21% (won 100% of 84)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 194)20% (won 100% of 80)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 107)53% (won 100% of 214)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankLimousinRN1sainttroplay
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Lucas Poullain
opposite sides · consensus Jerome Kym
—Jerome Kym $1.4KLucas Poullain $460—
Port FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $48Yes $12—
Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Rebecca Sramkova
opposite sides · consensus Rebecca Sramkova
—Moyuka Uchijima $24Rebecca Sramkova $32—
Chennai Open: Viktoria Morvayova vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
—Polina Kudermetova $14KPolina Kudermetova $19K—
Taipei: Tung-Lin Wu vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Tung-Lin Wu
—Tung-Lin Wu $227Tung-Lin Wu $1.7K—
Chennai Open: Rada Zolotareva vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
—Rada Zolotareva $1Rada Zolotareva $1.9K—
Beijing Guoan leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3Yes $65—
Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5Under $54—