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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | NeverLoseBet | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 48% (87–95, n=182) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | -$362K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #483 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (79 of 114 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −34 pts, n=15 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 48% of 177 at avg 54¢, ROI −7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 7% (won 23% of 13) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 39% (won 35% of 69) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 28% (won 54% of 50) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 25% (won 69% of 45) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | NeverLoseBet |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $187K | Yes $2.0K |