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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| BreakTheBank | NeverLoseBet | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 48% (87–95, n=182) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | -$362K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #483 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (66 of 113 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 51% (38 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −34 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 48% of 177 at avg 54¢, ROI −7% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 7% (won 23% of 13) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 39% (won 35% of 69) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 28% (won 54% of 50) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 25% (won 69% of 45) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | NeverLoseBet | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $131K | Yes $2.0K | — |