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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | stepanka1234 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 47% (13283–14790, n=28073) | 76% (51–16, n=67) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $14.8M | $28K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #740 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (25 of 38 open) | 50% (19 of 38 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 51 at avg 78¢, ROI +20% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 22% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 78% (won 100% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | stepanka1234 |
|---|---|---|---|
| W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito same side · consensus Katie Swan | — | Katie Swan $281 | Katie Swan $8.7K |