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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | stepanka1234 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 50% (15092–15111, n=30203) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 79% (61–16, n=77) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.0M | $14.8M | $35K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #56 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #614 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (13 of 22 open) | 49% (76 of 155 open) | 61% (96 of 158 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 51 at avg 78¢, ROI +20% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 22% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 78% (won 100% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | stepanka1234 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | No $651K | Yes $1.6K | No $6.5K | — |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $56K | — | No $148 | — |
| Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Justin Boulais opposite sides · consensus Justin Boulais | — | Justin Boulais $9.3K | Marcos Giron $13K | — |
| Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua | — | Despina Papamichail $1.0K | Renata Zarazua $18K | — |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF | — | Real Madrid CF $128 | AEK $5.2K | — |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $114 | No $3.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | Over $1.5K | — |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon | — | Maxwell McKennon $210 | Mauricio Echazu $1.0K | — |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | — | Leyre Romero Gormaz $740 | Solana Sierra $476 | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.0K | Yes $153 | — | — |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt opposite sides · consensus Max Wiskandt | — | Max Wiskandt $43 | Hiroki Sakagawa $706 | — |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $68 | No $677 | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $22K | Yes $117 | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $215 | — | — |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $896 | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.6K | Yes $69 | — | — |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $516 | Yes $29 | — | — |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $271 | Hornets $129 | — |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $27 | Under $147 | — |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $35 | Yes $104 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $4 | Pelicans $121 | — |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $28 | Yes $41 | — | — |