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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | capnjack1497 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 31% (51–111, n=162) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | -$50K | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #665 | PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (31 of 35 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (108 of 150 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 47% of 111 at avg 41¢, ROI +15% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 16% of 32) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 29% (won 44% of 32) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 42% (won 70% of 47) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 0% | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | capnjack1497 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | No $337K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $292K | — | Yes $11K |