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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankcm2897
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)51% (1392–1329, n=2721)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$73K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #361
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—College Football ±0 pts, n=922
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%50% of 1940 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)23% (won 7% of 450)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)26% (won 41% of 508)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)27% (won 61% of 528)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)23% (won 90% of 454)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.