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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankcm2897ndb1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)51% (1422–1347, n=2769)63% (987–572, n=1559)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$78K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #332PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensus79% (27 of 34 open)no open consensus position75% (101 of 135 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—College Football ±0 pts, n=922NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%50% of 1940 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)23% (won 7% of 450)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)26% (won 41% of 508)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)27% (won 61% of 528)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)23% (won 90% of 454)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankcm2897ndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407K—No $335K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $278K—Yes $11K