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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankcm2897Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)51% (1403–1339, n=2742)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$74K$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #337PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensus52% (12 of 23 open)60% (3 of 5 open)67% (152 of 226 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—College Football ±0 pts, n=922Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%50% of 1940 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)23% (won 7% of 450)29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)26% (won 41% of 508)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)27% (won 61% of 528)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)23% (won 90% of 454)38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankcm2897Flaznorp
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Loyola Marymount Lions
opposite sides · consensus Queens (NC) Royals
—Loyola Marymount Lions $28Queens (NC) Royals $714