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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankcm2897ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)51% (1421–1365, n=2786)63% (993–578, n=1571)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$55K$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #399PM monthly #96PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position71% (52 of 73 open)50% (32 of 64 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%50% of 2043 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)23% (won 7% of 480)13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)26% (won 41% of 532)19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)27% (won 61% of 561)23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)23% (won 90% of 470)44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankcm2897ndb1RN1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K—No $337K—