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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankdenizzFlaznorpuehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)no settled market74% (418–147, n=565)67% (4–2, n=6)
Consensus PnL$779K$0$45K-$6.6K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #150PM monthly #19PM monthly #741
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)65% (26 of 40 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—Politics −2 pts, n=16Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%—
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)26% (won 6% of 63)34% (won 10% of 30)—
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)12% (won 57% of 30)19% (won 29% of 17)—
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)13% (won 66% of 32)13% (won 55% of 11)—
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)49% (won 96% of 120)34% (won 83% of 30)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.