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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankfantasy7788makerview00robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)100% (2–0, n=2)100% (2–0, n=2)65% (13–7, n=20)
Consensus PnL$779K$245K-$11$261K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #83PM monthly #815PM monthly #17 + pinned
Sides with the consensus33% (6 of 18 open)100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 1 open)57% (8 of 14 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%—100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)0%—11% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)50% (won 100% of 1)—33% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)50% (won 100% of 1)—44% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)0%—11% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankfantasy7788makerview00robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Clippers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Clippers $6——Suns $149K
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $2.9K——Thunder $117K
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Clippers $1.4K——Suns $54K
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Kings $4.5K——Kings $369