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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)35% (3667–6666, n=10333)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.1M$3.6M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #127PM monthly #11PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)69% (20 of 29 open)76% (186 of 246 open)71% (52 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)—16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)—16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Taylor Fritz $3.4KCarlos Alcaraz $5.8K—
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
—Francesco Maestrelli $8.5KCarlo Alberto Caniato $22—
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.8KOver $23—
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $565Over $3.0K—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
—Leyre Romero Gormaz $3.3KJulia Riera $64—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $1.4K76ers $188—
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KOver $3—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K——No $337K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Luca Van Assche $145KLuca Van Assche $35K—
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $15KUnder $408—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Celtics $1.9KCeltics $225—
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $375Under $1.2K—
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $512Wizards $172—
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs tao toma (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage
same side · consensus tao toma
—tao toma $86tao toma $1—