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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026primmzerone777
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)47% (1413–1577, n=2990)28% (485–1269, n=1754)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.4M$3.7M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #40PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)75% (6 of 8 open)no open consensus position93% (27 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Mentions −2 pts, n=50
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%40% of 650 at avg 41¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 94% of 51)53% (won 2% of 345)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)41% (won 99% of 421)5% (won 32% of 34)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)49% (won 99% of 508)7% (won 65% of 46)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 47)35% (won 95% of 225)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.