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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankgollazaRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)65% (3210–1718, n=4928)47% (14288–15920, n=30208)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$11.0M$145K$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #458PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus75% (83 of 110 open)no open consensus position50% (20 of 40 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%73% of 3212 at avg 67¢, ROI +3%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 79% of 58)10% (won 26% of 337)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 200)15% (won 45% of 487)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 194)18% (won 73% of 593)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 107)56% (won 90% of 1795)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.