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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Kaczka | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 52% (435–409, n=844) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $5.3M | $13K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #103 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (25 of 31 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (3 of 9 open) | 72% (71 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 84% of 559 at avg 56¢, ROI +22% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 4% (won 68% of 25) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 72% of 125) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 62% (won 88% of 347) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 11% (won 92% of 62) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Kaczka | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $1 | — | — | Yes $1.0M |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | — | No $335K |