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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677Limousinprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1180–1199, n=2379)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$5.3M$31K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #3PM monthly #384PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus84% (26 of 31 open)no open consensus position42% (10 of 24 open)64% (9 of 14 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NBA +46 pts n=88, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=382, ROI +32%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=28, ROI +32%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 535 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 100% of 37)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 100% of 112)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)65% (won 73% of 11)16% (won 100% of 88)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)56% (won 100% of 298)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677Limousinprimm
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.3K——Ravens $560