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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Michael-The-Taxiarch | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 54% (49–41, n=90) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $5.6M | $29K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #503 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (42 of 65 open) | no open consensus position | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Geopolitics −4 pts, n=14 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 45% of 93 at avg 42¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 47% (won 7% of 44) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 50% of 12) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 11% (won 70% of 10) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 29% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Michael-The-Taxiarch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $287K | — | Yes $14K |