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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677Multicoloured-SerfRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (266–304, n=570)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$5.3M-$181K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #22PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus86% (24 of 28 open)no open consensus position76% (13 of 17 open)60% (116 of 194 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)47% (won 100% of 100)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)47% (won 100% of 101)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)6% (won 100% of 13)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677Multicoloured-SerfRN1
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.2KNo $4.9K
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $184Under $69