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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | kaxel78 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 28% (439–1120, n=1559) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1144–1155, n=2299) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $50K | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #47 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 90% (28 of 31 open) | 71% (59 of 83 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Elections −1 pts, n=184 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 47% of 633 at avg 48¢, ROI +14% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 48% (won 3% of 301) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 5% (won 55% of 33) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 4% (won 54% of 28) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 43% (won 94% of 271) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | kaxel78 | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | No $337K | — |