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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankmildwindow27
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)36% (5223–9117, n=14340)
Consensus PnL$7.9M-$140K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #319
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)78% (73 of 93 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Weather −4 pts, n=1555
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%37% of 5848 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)59% (won 1% of 3428)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)2% (won 42% of 132)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)4% (won 55% of 222)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)35% (won 96% of 2066)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankmildwindow27
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $16KNo $132