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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | mildwindow27 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (553–663, n=1216) | 39% (4967–7718, n=12685) | 47% (13346–14851, n=28197) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $63K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #338 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (18 of 32 open) | 77% (62 of 81 open) | 67% (31 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −4 pts, n=1229 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 42% of 4985 at avg 45¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 54% (won 1% of 2673) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 2% (won 43% of 124) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 4% (won 55% of 214) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 40% (won 96% of 1974) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | mildwindow27 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $9.2K | No $632 | — |