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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | SineNooneEI | Vanchalkenstein | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (524–18, n=542) | 58% (419–300, n=719) | 88% (584–76, n=660) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $4.7M | $1.0M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #157 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #605 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (36 of 45 open) | 70% (57 of 81 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 5% (won 83% of 23) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 36% (won 88% of 182) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 44% (won 93% of 224) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 16% (won 99% of 82) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | SineNooneEI | Vanchalkenstein |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $425K | No $350K | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | Yes $12K | — | — |