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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1prabamRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)63% (990–573, n=1563)71% (29–12, n=41)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.2M$17K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #105was PM monthly #927PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus82% (23 of 28 open)74% (82 of 111 open)100% (2 of 2 open)65% (129 of 198 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%83% of 35 at avg 77¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)3% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)6% (won 50% of 2)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)17% (won 83% of 6)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)74% (won 88% of 26)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1prabamRN1
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $1.4KLuisina Giovannini $441
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
Yes $8Yes $1.0M——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407KNo $335K——