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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankppku6298RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)45% (542–652, n=1194)42% (94–129, n=223)47% (14023–15521, n=29544)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$11.1M$34K$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #958PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus40% (39 of 97 open)33% (4 of 12 open)51% (42 of 82 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • NBA +37 pts n=76, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=21, ROI +45%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 106 at avg 49¢, ROI +37%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 79% of 58)2% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 200)62% (won 83% of 66)22% (won 94% of 5518)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 194)35% (won 89% of 37)36% (won 99% of 8928)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 107)1% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankppku6298RN1sainttroplay
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $207K—Pelicans $1.1K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $46K—Pelicans $360—
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $39KPacers $2.9K——
Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7.6KOver $25—
Spread: Magic (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Wizards $4.6KMagic $210—
Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.0KOver $243—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Heat $562Lakers $130—
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Hawks $190—Pacers $110—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $3.9KBulls $290—