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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| CandleHammerDrums | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (1509–443, n=1952) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.1M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #882 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CandleHammerDrums | RN1 |
|---|---|---|
| Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat same side · consensus Jan Kumstat | Jan Kumstat $2.4K | Jan Kumstat $8.9K |