← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CandleHammerDrums | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (1510–446, n=1956) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.1M | $14.8M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #882 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 56% (25 of 45 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 343 at avg 61¢, ROI +50% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 25) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 100% of 75) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 122) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 100% of 121) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CandleHammerDrums | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Maria: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ryo Tabata opposite sides · consensus Ryo Tabata | Santiago De la Fuente $342 | Ryo Tabata $20K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi same side · consensus Cameron Norrie | Cameron Norrie $5.7K | Cameron Norrie $28K | — |
| Bratislava 2: Eero Vasa vs Vadym Ursu same side · consensus Eero Vasa | Eero Vasa $510 | Eero Vasa $4.3K | — |
| Charlottesville: James Kent Trotter vs Ozan Baris same side · consensus James Kent Trotter | Ozan Baris $72 | Ozan Baris $3 | — |
| Villa Maria: Mateo Del Pino vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro same side · consensus Mateo Del Pino | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $18 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $11 | — |