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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CandleHammerDrumsRN1pleaseplease123
Record (consensus markets)77% (1509–443, n=1952)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)49% (345–353, n=698)
Consensus PnL$2.1M$13.4M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #882PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensus80% (4 of 5 open)83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +46 pts n=116, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=118, ROI +31%
  • Crypto +35 pts n=108, ROI +35%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——MLB −1 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won100% of 343 at avg 61¢, ROI +50%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 25)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 75)22% (won 94% of 5518)38% (won 43% of 266)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 122)36% (won 99% of 8928)61% (won 54% of 426)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 100% of 121)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCandleHammerDrumsRN1pleaseplease123
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Rinky Hijikata $14KRinky Hijikata $41K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Mary Stoiana
Mary Stoiana $12KMary Stoiana $10K—
Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat
same side · consensus Jan Kumstat
Jan Kumstat $4.7KJan Kumstat $9.7K—
Bratislava 2: Michal Krajci vs Niels Visker
same side · consensus Michal Krajci
Michal Krajci $843Michal Krajci $270—
Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm
same side · consensus Lucas Poullain
Yannik Kelm $127Yannik Kelm $3—