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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CandleHammerDrumsRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)77% (1509–443, n=1952)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$2.1M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #882PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (5 of 5 open)83% (5 of 6 open)90% (146 of 163 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +46 pts n=116, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=118, ROI +31%
  • Crypto +35 pts n=108, ROI +35%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 343 at avg 61¢, ROI +50%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 25)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 75)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 122)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 100% of 121)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCandleHammerDrumsRN1BreakTheBank
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti $34KLorenzo Musetti $46K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Ignacio Buse
Ignacio Buse $14KIgnacio Buse $42K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Mary Stoiana
Mary Stoiana $15KMary Stoiana $21K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
same side · consensus Mariano Navone
Mariano Navone $367Mariano Navone $3—