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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)52% (3243–2962, n=6205)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$166K$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #473was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus49% (91 of 184 open)no open consensus position79% (53 of 67 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won85% of 2932 at avg 68¢, ROI +5%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 25% of 436)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 73% of 237)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 93% of 518)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 99% of 1741)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed00gringo00BreakTheBank
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K—No $40K