Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ChonkVisionFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (243–179, n=422)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1096–631, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$635K$4.1M$3.3M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #86PM monthly #16PM monthly #7PM monthly #108
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)76% (74 of 97 open)no open consensus position75% (76 of 102 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +6 pts n=229, ROI +9%
  • NBA +20 pts n=11, ROI +20%
  • NFL +5 pts n=13, ROI +11%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=110Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won58% of 401 at avg 55¢, ROI +9%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 3)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 51% of 115)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢64% (won 59% of 258)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 88% of 25)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketChonkVisionFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $216——Yes $291