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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ComingBackRN100gringo00
Record (consensus markets)61% (3977–2523, n=6500)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$74K$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #974PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus90% (19 of 21 open)53% (64 of 120 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +15 pts n=1269, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=1640, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +11 pts n=207, ROI +13%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicPolitics −6 pts, n=123——
Settled positions, side won73% of 7547 at avg 65¢, ROI +9%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 23% of 77)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 56% of 1748)22% (won 94% of 5497)0%
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 67% of 2819)36% (won 99% of 8897)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 89% of 2903)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketComingBackRN100gringo00
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $2.0KCowboys $12K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $4.6KMagic $228—