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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Crock95CORGIIBreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)59% (185–130, n=315)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$227K$4.5M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #931 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus72% (13 of 18 open)25% (1 of 4 open)73% (73 of 100 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicGeopolitics −2 pts, n=108———
Settled positions, side won43% of 401 at avg 40¢, ROI +2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢51% (won 9% of 205)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 57% of 42)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)0%
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 54% of 41)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 95% of 113)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCrock95CORGIIBreakTheBank00gringo00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $71—No $35K—
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—Yes $12K—