Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CustomTraderjoseph00677RN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)7% (39–498, n=537)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)61% (495–321, n=816)
Consensus PnL-$5.4K$5.6M$14.8M-$352K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #547PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus46% (6 of 13 open)no open consensus position55% (26 of 47 open)72% (13 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicElections −7 pts, n=53——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won13% of 204 at avg 21¢, ROI −3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢81% (won 7% of 165)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 23% of 22)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5518)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 0% of 5)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8928)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 83% of 12)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 7821)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCustomTraderjoseph00677RN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $129Over $2.6K