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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DEGENKHAN00gringo00RN1
Record (consensus markets)67% (589–289, n=878)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$92K$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus91% (81 of 89 open)no open consensus position63% (29 of 46 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNBA −1 pts, n=138——
Settled positions, side won68% of 1586 at avg 65¢, ROI +1%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 7% of 493)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 49% of 35)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 61% of 44)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 98% of 1014)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.