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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DG-NO0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)39% (678–1039, n=1717)61% (495–321, n=816)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$4.2K-$352K$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #312was PM monthly #51PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus63% (17 of 27 open)75% (6 of 8 open)86% (134 of 156 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicElections −1 pts, n=135Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won23% of 1611 at avg 23¢, ROI +1%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢68% (won 5% of 1098)15% (won 29% of 125)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 40% of 50)34% (won 58% of 283)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 61% of 294)43% (won 69% of 354)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 76% of 169)7% (won 80% of 60)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDG-NO0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816BreakTheBank
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $30—No $119K
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $161—No $139
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $66—Yes $6.8K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $147—Yes $3.3K
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $171
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $25