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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ditto321joseph00677ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)49% (307–317, n=624)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)
Consensus PnL$11K$5.3M$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #961PM monthly #2PM monthly #96PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus67% (6 of 9 open)no open consensus position71% (58 of 82 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +4 pts n=115, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +6 pts n=71, ROI +8%
  • NBA +22 pts n=10, ROI +41%
Weakest topicTennis −5 pts, n=165—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won47% of 582 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 19% of 72)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 44% of 234)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 52% of 226)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 82% of 50)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.