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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DonationsReceiverCORGII00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)52% (150–141, n=291)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$47K$4.5M$3.5M$3.5M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus79% (15 of 19 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −1 pts, n=112———
Settled positions, side won59% of 367 at avg 57¢, ROI +2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 5% of 138)9% (won 92% of 36)0%7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 41% of 17)56% (won 99% of 223)0%26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 57% of 14)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 97% of 198)2% (won 100% of 7)0%24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.