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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market50% (1–1, n=2)68% (304–140, n=444)
Consensus PnL$24—$5.0K-$55K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #791PM monthly #158PM monthly #152PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 5 open)100% (6 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=71Crypto −1 pts, n=10—
Settled positions, side won—54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%61% of 525 at avg 50¢, ROI +5%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—19% (won 10% of 96)37% (won 10% of 193)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 35% of 105)13% (won 67% of 66)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—27% (won 54% of 132)14% (won 88% of 74)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—33% (won 91% of 163)37% (won 99% of 192)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.