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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ElonSimp | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (94–194, n=288) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $12K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (18 of 27 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 89% of 252 at avg 79¢, ROI +6% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 19% of 31) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 89% of 9) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 93% of 15) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 100% of 197) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ElonSimp | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |