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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ElonSpam | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (1533–2176, n=3709) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | $28K | $4.1M | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #806 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #98 |
| Sides with the consensus | 8% (1 of 12 open) | 70% (115 of 165 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (111 of 152 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 3214 at avg 47¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 9% of 1109) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 39% of 472) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 59% of 742) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 92% of 891) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ElonSpam | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.3K | — | No $115 |