Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EulhunterBreakTheBankbeachboy4CORGII
Record (consensus markets)54% (699–597, n=1296)45% (542–652, n=1194)68% (43–20, n=63)61% (395–248, n=643)
Consensus PnL$271K$10.6M$5.8M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #340PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus86% (6 of 7 open)90% (149 of 165 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won61% of 754 at avg 59¢, ROI +6%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 4% of 204)10% (won 82% of 56)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 23% of 83)36% (won 98% of 198)30% (won 57% of 63)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 66% of 94)35% (won 99% of 191)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 99% of 373)19% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.