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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EulhunterRN1pleaseplease1230x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)54% (699–597, n=1296)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)49% (346–353, n=699)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$271K$13.4M$3.2M$19.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #340PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #92was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus100% (9 of 9 open)94% (15 of 16 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——MLB −1 pts, n=694College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won61% of 754 at avg 59¢, ROI +6%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 4% of 204)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 23% of 83)22% (won 94% of 5518)38% (won 43% of 266)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 66% of 94)36% (won 99% of 8928)61% (won 54% of 426)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 99% of 373)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEulhunterRN1pleaseplease1230x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar
opposite sides · consensus Rafael Jodar
Rafael Jodar $1.3KAlejandro Tabilo $59——
Luanda: Jahnie Van Zyl vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Yasmine Kabbaj
Yasmine Kabbaj $140Yasmine Kabbaj $5.5K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $1.8KLuca Van Assche $1.5K——