Luanda: Jahnie Van Zyl vs Yasmine Kabbaj

12 of 18 top Polymarket traders hold Yasmine Kabbaj (67%) · Yasmine Kabbaj at 97¢ · $33K held · ends Nov 9

Jahnie Van Zyl3¢Yasmine Kabbaj97¢Ends Mon, Nov 9, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Yasmine Kabbaj

Consensus Traders

Yasmine Kabbaj 67%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$32.7K

Combined PnL

-$166.18

Smart Money Entry

87¢ → 97.3¢

+12% since entry · 12 traders

Research grade

NeutralYasmine Kabbaj at 97%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Yasmine Kabbaj

12 of 18 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Jahnie Van Zyl3%

Yasmine Kabbaj97%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yasmine Kabbaj12 traders

Total Value$30.1K

Total Shares33,914

Combined PnL-$902.38

Jahnie Van Zyl6 traders

Total Value$2.3K

Total Shares5,451

Combined PnL+$736.2

Yasmine Kabbaj — 67%Jahnie Van Zyl — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AU austr	Yasmine Kabbajavg 95.4¢	$11.0K	$11.0K	-$40.05	63% 580-337 (917)
UP UpTheBlues	Yasmine Kabbajavg 90.2¢	$8.1K	$8.2K	+$96.1	58% 48519-34669 (83188)
RN1	Yasmine Kabbajavg 70.6¢	$5.0K	$3.9K	$-1.1K	54% 58149-50375 (108524)
FL Flaznorp	Yasmine Kabbajavg 88.8¢	$2.0K	$2.2K	+$161.65	51% 17616-16619 (34235)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR	Jahnie Van Zylavg 30¢	$1.4K	$2.2K	+$810	51% 1594-1534 (3128)
NO NotJump	Yasmine Kabbajavg 89.3¢	$2.0K	$2.0K	-$3.13	44% 9900-12847 (22747)
38 38791873984189	Yasmine Kabbajavg 70.4¢	$1.7K	$927.4	+$266.04	47% 13021-14584 (27605)
TH thestingsnake	Yasmine Kabbajavg 81.9¢	$963.06	$886.24	+$118.97	60% 4152-2785 (6937)
CA CandleHammerDrums	Yasmine Kabbajavg 89.7¢	$1.1K	$700.99	-$439.31	52% 5704-5269 (10973)
EU Eulhunter	Yasmine Kabbajavg 72.6¢	$250.51	$315.94	+$65.43	54% 5909-4954 (10863)
OM omnibus-076daaARB<$100	Jahnie Van Zylavg 6¢	$171.56	$148.36	-$24.14	50% 19818-20161 (39979)
└ Jahnie Van Zyl leg	Jahnie Van Zylavg 6¢	$138.48	$103.86	-$34.62
└ Yasmine Kabbaj leg	Yasmine Kabbajavg 71¢	$33.08	$44.49	+$10.48
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR	Jahnie Van Zylavg 27.7¢	$125.78	$131.66	+$12.69	58% 29907-21965 (51872)
tradecraftARB<$100	Jahnie Van Zylavg 30.1¢	$214.4	$109.05	-$105.35	51% 6155-5874 (12029)
└ Yasmine Kabbaj leg	Yasmine Kabbajavg 72¢	$61.88	$81.22	+$19.34
└ Jahnie Van Zyl leg	Jahnie Van Zylavg 30.1¢	$152.52	$27.83	-$124.69
VeryLucky888	Yasmine Kabbajavg 69¢	$103.01	$77.63	-$25.38	58% 43613-31723 (75336)
PA pauleta23CTR<$100	Jahnie Van Zylavg 30.3¢	$28.29	$13.24	-$15.05	66% 23634-11934 (35568)
SU suntoriCTR	Jahnie Van Zylavg 36¢	$145.7	$11.91	-$67.2	45% 12923-15690 (28613)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Jahnie Van Zylavg 8.5¢	$10.13	$5.6	-$4.54	47% 10056-11172 (21228)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100	Yasmine Kabbajavg 72.5¢	$13.17	$5.26	+$0.3	86% 6403-1082 (7485)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Yasmine Kabbajavg 69¢	$3.45	$2.6	-$0.85	53% 7642-6914 (14556)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Jahnie Van Zylavg 4.1¢	$2.05	$2.35	+$0.3	56% 18390-14714 (33104)

austr

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$11,000

Value

$11.0K

PnL

-$40.05

Record

63%

580-337 (917)

UpTheBlues

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$8,055.27

Value

$8.2K

PnL

+$96.1

Record

58%

48519-34669 (83188)

RN1

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$4,969.92

Value

$3.9K

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

54%

58149-50375 (108524)

Flaznorp

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$2,048.7

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$161.65

Record

51%

17616-16619 (34235)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR

Jahnie Van Zyl

Invested

$1,350

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$810

Record

51%

1594-1534 (3128)

NotJump

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$2,033.6

Value

$2.0K

PnL

-$3.13

Record

44%

9900-12847 (22747)

38791873984189

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$1,667.95

Value

$927.4

PnL

+$266.04

Record

47%

13021-14584 (27605)

thestingsnake

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$963.06

Value

$886.24

PnL

+$118.97

Record

60%

4152-2785 (6937)

CandleHammerDrums

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$1,140.3

Value

$700.99

PnL

-$439.31

Record

52%

5704-5269 (10973)

Eulhunter

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$250.51

Value

$315.94

PnL

+$65.43

Record

54%

5909-4954 (10863)

omnibus-076daaARB<$100

Jahnie Van Zyl

Invested

$171.56

Value

$148.36

PnL

-$24.14

Record

50%

19818-20161 (39979)

Both legs:

Jahnie Van Zyl$138.486¢-$34.62

Yasmine Kabbaj$33.0871¢+$10.48

LeLynxMalynxCTR

Jahnie Van Zyl

Invested

$125.78

Value

$131.66

PnL

+$12.69

Record

58%

29907-21965 (51872)

tradecraftARB<$100

Jahnie Van Zyl

Invested

$214.4

Value

$109.05

PnL

-$105.35

Record

51%

6155-5874 (12029)

Both legs:

Yasmine Kabbaj$61.8872¢+$19.34

Jahnie Van Zyl$152.5230.1¢-$124.69

VeryLucky888

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$103.01

Value

$77.63

PnL

-$25.38

Record

58%

43613-31723 (75336)

pauleta23CTR<$100

Jahnie Van Zyl

Invested

$28.29

Value

$13.24

PnL

-$15.05

Record

66%

23634-11934 (35568)

suntoriCTR

Jahnie Van Zyl

Invested

$145.7

Value

$11.91

PnL

-$67.2

Record

45%

12923-15690 (28613)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Jahnie Van Zyl

Invested

$10.13

Value

$5.6

PnL

-$4.54

Record

47%

10056-11172 (21228)

ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$13.17

Value

$5.26

PnL

+$0.3

Record

86%

6403-1082 (7485)

ameisgoat11<$100

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$3.45

Value

$2.6

PnL

-$0.85

Record

53%

7642-6914 (14556)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Jahnie Van Zyl

Invested

$2.05

Value

$2.35

PnL

+$0.3

Record

56%

18390-14714 (33104)

Research grade

NeutralYasmine Kabbaj at 97%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Yasmine Kabbaj

12 of 18 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Yasmine Kabbaj wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance98.4%

97.3¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$1.64

Max Loss

-$100.00

101.6

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.