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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| FakeMadrid | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (908–626, n=1534) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 47% (14382–15903, n=30285) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.3M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 72% (59 of 82 open) | 57% (31 of 54 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | MLB −1 pts, n=39 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 1475 at avg 57¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 16% of 131) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 28% (won 48% of 417) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 62% of 519) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 85% of 408) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FakeMadrid | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $31K | Under $853 |