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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FakeMadrid | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (928–646, n=1574) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.2M | $4.1M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 75% (85 of 114 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 61% (30 of 49 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −5 pts, n=43 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 1496 at avg 57¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 16% of 132) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 47% of 428) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 62% of 526) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 85% of 410) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FakeMadrid | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $6.4K | — | Yes $105 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Penguins vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Ducks | — | Penguins $14 | — | Ducks $1.5K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | — | Over $29 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | — | Coco Gauff $17K | — | Coco Gauff $58K |
| Heat vs. Kings same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $11K | — | Heat $30K |
| Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $16K | — | No $1.3K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj | — | Patrick Zahraj $5.9K | — | Patrick Zahraj $5.8K |
| Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.9K | — | No $161 |
| Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.7K | — | Over $1.0K |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.4K | — | Over $2.8K |
| Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Pittsburgh Panthers same side · consensus Pittsburgh Panthers | — | Pittsburgh Panthers $1.6K | — | Pittsburgh Panthers $1.5K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $923 | — | Over $750 |
| Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | — | Under $15 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $831 | — | Under $3 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun same side · consensus Giles Hussey | — | Giles Hussey $370 | — | Giles Hussey $24 |
| Will Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $329 | — | Yes $14 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $177 | — | Under $41 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | — | No $4 | — | No $26 |